Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council, stated that he did not see any open aggression from Russia, the buildup of troops, and any reason for imposing a state of emergency in the country. Moreover, according to his estimates that he voiced during the briefing, the Russian Federation does not yet have the physical capability for a "major invasion."
Danilov added that at the moment "the number-one issue for the Russian Federation" is destabilizing the internal situation in Ukraine. According to him, the report about the concentration of forces near Ukraine is "one of the information attacks" for intimidation.
"Our experts say that the Russian Federation cannot make a major invasion of the territory of Ukraine even physically. Because there are certain calculations, there is a preparatory period, a period of time that they have to spend."
Additionally. On December 30, the resource Conflict Intelligence Team that investigates military conflicts released new information about the pulling in of Russian troops and equipment to the Ukrainian border. According to their estimates, the Russian side has redeployed anti-aircraft missile systems to Ukraine over the past four weeks. The equipment is mainly concentrated in Klintsy and Klimov (less than 50 and 10 km from the border with Ukraine, respectively).
Context. Earlier this month, Danilov stated that 122,000 Russian troops were stationed at the borders of Ukraine at a distance of 200 km, and 143,500—at a distance of 400 km.
Recall: on December 30, US President Joe Biden threatened his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin with a "decisive response" to a new invasion of Ukraine. The head of the Russian Federation stressed that in this case, the Russian side will break off relations with the United States.