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New wave of coronavirus: when COVID-19 will cover Ukraine and what areas are at risk

In the next two weeks, there will be a new wave of COVID-19 infections in Ukraine. As noted in the forecast of the Kyiv School of Economics (KSE), the highest risk of an outbreak of coronavirus is in the Dnipropetrovsk, Odesa, Donetsk, Zhytomyr, Zakarpattia, and Khmelnytskyi regions. They account for half of the growing number of hospitalizations in the country.

"Virtually all regions are growing slowly. This means that an outbreak of morbidity in Ukraine may begin within the next two weeks," Iurii Ganychenko, the Head of the Health Economics Center at KSE, predicts.

The average incidence rate over the past two weeks is 20 people per 100,000 of the population. At the same time, hospitalizations per week increased by 17%, and that indicates a trend of increasing burden on the health care system.

Context. In mid-July, WHO announced that the world was in the early stages of the third wave of coronavirus. Besides the fact that the Delta strain has become dominant throughout the world, there are problems with the distribution of vaccines in different parts of the world.

According to WHO forecasts, a new wave of coronavirus may cover Ukraine at the end of August.

Over the past day in Ukraine, COVID-19 was found in 1,052 people, 532 were hospitalized. 25 people died from the infection, 542 recovered. Since the beginning of vaccination against coronavirus in Ukraine, 2,215,230 people have received two doses of the vaccine. A total of 6,070,323 vaccinations were made.

Recall that Ukrainians are vaccinated with the following vaccines:

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