Three months of full-scale war with Russia: Facts

Author

Mariia Makukha

Ukraine has been repelling the attacks of the Russian army for three months now. Ukrainian defenders have already killed about 29,350 Russian invaders and liberated several regions. However, Ukraine suffers billions in losses and has numerous victims. Forbes detailed the main figures for the three months of the war with Russia.

What are the losses from infrastructure damage?

According to Forbes, the war with Russia destroyed almost twice as many roads as we managed to repair during the two years of the Big Construction program. The Russian army destroyed 23,500 km of roads and more than 300 artificial structures.

Overall, according to the Kyiv School of Economics estimates, direct losses from damage to physical infrastructure alone amounted to $97.4 billion as of May 19. Of this amount, 35% relates to the destruction of residential buildings, 32% — to motorways, 11% — to assets of enterprises, 7% — to civilian airports. Considering the average rate of increase in the number of damages in May ($3 billion/week), losses as of May 24 can be estimated at about $100 billion.

How long will the war continue?

According to the study "The Duration of Interstate Wars, 1816-1985", 60% of wars last up to six months, 13% — from six months to a year, and only 5% drag on for more than five years. The average duration of a war is one and a half years.

At the same time, 41% of Ukrainian respondents expect the war to end within three to six months, according to an unrepresentative poll by the Telegram channel Shrike. More than 18,000 people participated in this poll. The average expected duration of the war, according to the same poll, is growing over time and is about seven months from the date of the poll.

How many civilians were killed or injured?

According to the UN, as of May 20, 3,838 civilians were killed in Ukraine and another 4,351 were injured. The Office of the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights notes that the actual figures could be much higher, as in many cases information is limited or the evidence base is still being collected. In particular, this applies to data on Mariupol, Izium, and Popasna. At least 232 children have already died from the war and 431 have been injured, according to the Office of the Prosecutor General of Ukraine.

How much does burnt Russian equipment cost?

The most expensive destroyed Russian military asset was the Moskva missile cruiser ($750 million). This is followed by the Il-76 transport aircraft ($86 million) and the Saratov large landing ship ($75 million). In the first weeks of the war, the cost of the destroyed Russian military hardware was at least $1.5 billion per week, but later this figure decreased. Over the past 7 days, equipment worth about $400 million has been destroyed.

How many air raid alerts were there in the capital?

In three months, there were 390 air raid alerts in Kyiv, their total duration was 17 days. However, the number of quiet days is gradually growing in the capital. There were no alerts in Kyiv on April 26 and 30, as well as on May 1, 2, 11, and 19.

How many new heroes of Ukraine appeared?

In three months, the largest number of Heroes in the history of independence appeared in Ukraine — 147. Of these, 75 were awarded this title posthumously. Prior to that, most of the Heroes in Ukraine appeared in 2014 — 110 people. 99 of them are Heroes of the Heavenly Hundred.

How much did Ukraine's GDP fall in 2022?

Forbes estimates the fall in GDP at 30-50%. According to various estimates, Ukraine will incur losses of $60-100 billion of GDP. The outlet notes that this amount is comparable to the public debt, which as of March 31, 2022 amounted to $96.8 billion.

How many territories of Ukraine are occupied?

Since 2014, the Russian army has captured so much Ukrainian land that the total area exceeds the combined territories of Hungary and Bulgaria. The record for the area of the occupied territory occurred in 2022. As of February 23, 43,300 sq. km, or 7% of Ukrainian territory, were under Russian occupation. Now this area is 2.9 times larger, that is, it is 125,000 sq. km. Temporarily uncontrolled territories include the Autonomous Republic of Crimea, parts of Donetsk, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Kherson, Zaporizhia Oblasts, and the city of Sevastopol. During the war, the Armed Forces of Ukraine completely liberated Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Mykolaiv, and Zhytomyr Oblasts from Russian invaders. The entire territory of Ukraine is 603,548 sq. km.