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Are Ukrainian refugees abroad going to come back home? A survey

Less than 10% of Ukrainians who fled abroad from the war aren’t going to return home. This is shown by the data from the survey held by the Razumkov Center from July 20 to August 25, 2022.

The results demonstrate that 36% of the refugees plan to return to their home cities as soon as they’re safe. Another 35% are ready to leave for Ukraine after the war with Russia is over, while 13% plan to wait for a year or a couple of years thereafter. There are also 7% of respondents who said they’d come back home once their jobs are restored or they’re certain to find other ones. Only 7% of the refugees don’t consider returning home at all.

With respect to geography, most people who want to return home as soon as possible come from the western and central parts of Ukraine, making up 18% and 15%, respectively. Among the people from the eastern and southern regions, the percentage is significantly smaller (6%); meanwhile, many of them (41% and 48%) intend to come back home as soon as the security situation allows them.

Those who plan on returning to the cities where they lived before the full-scale invasion make up 88% of the respondents. Meanwhile, 7% of respondents, mostly people from the east, intend to change their region of residence.

During the survey, 511 Ukrainian refugees in 30 countries of the world were interviewed. The majority of them were in Poland and Germany, namely 110 and 85 people, respectively. Another 231 people were interviewed in other EU countries, while 63 were in non-EU countries (Moldova, Turkey, the U.K., the U.S., and Israel).

Context. On September 1, 2022, the updated rules of stay for Ukrainians became effective in Germany.

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